— Regime History

The regime, day by day.

Every snapshot uses that day’s own model output, not today’s. Open one to see the full read as it stood.

September 4, 2026Soft Landing28.6%Low
September 3, 2026Soft Landing28.7%Moderate
September 2, 2026Soft Landing28.9%Low
September 1, 2026Soft Landing29.1%Low
August 31, 2026Soft Landing29.2%Low
August 28, 2026Soft Landing29.5%Low
August 27, 2026Soft Landing28.5%Low
August 26, 2026Soft Landing28.9%Low
August 25, 2026Soft Landing28.9%Low
August 24, 2026Soft Landing29.0%Low
August 21, 2026Soft Landing29.1%Low
August 20, 2026Soft Landing29.3%Low
August 19, 2026Soft Landing30.0%Low
August 18, 2026Soft Landing29.9%Low
August 17, 2026Soft Landing29.5%Low
August 14, 2026Soft Landing29.4%Low
August 13, 2026Soft Landing29.0%Low
August 12, 2026Soft Landing28.5%Low
August 11, 2026Cooling27.4%Low
August 10, 2026Cooling26.6%Low
August 7, 2026Cooling26.5%Low
August 6, 2026Cooling26.4%Low
August 5, 2026Overheating26.1%Low
August 4, 2026Overheating26.4%Low
August 3, 2026Overheating26.7%Low
July 31, 2026Overheating26.7%Low
July 30, 2026Overheating26.6%Low
July 29, 2026Overheating27.0%Low
July 28, 2026Overheating27.1%Low
July 27, 2026Overheating27.4%Low
July 24, 2026Overheating27.4%Low
July 23, 2026Overheating27.5%Low
July 22, 2026Overheating27.7%Low
July 21, 2026Overheating27.9%Low
July 20, 2026Overheating28.3%Low
July 17, 2026Overheating28.5%Low
July 16, 2026Overheating29.0%Low
July 15, 2026Overheating30.1%Low
July 14, 2026Overheating31.1%Low
July 13, 2026Overheating32.0%Moderate
July 10, 2026Overheating28.8%Moderate
July 9, 2026Overheating27.7%Moderate
July 8, 2026Overheating26.3%Moderate
July 7, 2026Contraction25.6%Low
July 6, 2026Contraction26.1%Low
July 3, 2026Contraction26.3%Low
July 2, 2026Contraction27.0%Low
July 1, 2026Contraction27.1%Low
June 30, 2026Overheating25.6%Low
June 29, 2026Overheating27.4%Low
June 26, 2026Overheating28.3%Low
June 25, 2026Overheating30.7%Low
June 24, 2026Overheating30.9%Moderate
June 23, 2026Overheating32.8%Moderate
June 22, 2026Overheating35.1%Moderate
June 19, 2026Overheating35.2%Moderate
June 18, 2026Overheating34.3%Moderate
June 17, 2026Overheating33.7%Moderate
June 16, 2026Overheating33.4%Moderate
June 15, 2026Overheating31.2%Moderate
June 12, 2026Overheating30.6%Moderate
June 11, 2026Overheating30.3%Moderate
June 10, 2026Overheating29.9%Moderate
June 9, 2026Overheating29.6%Moderate
June 8, 2026Overheating29.5%Moderate
June 5, 2026Overheating29.5%Moderate
June 4, 2026Overheating29.4%Moderate
June 3, 2026Overheating29.3%Moderate
June 2, 2026Overheating29.1%Moderate
June 1, 2026Overheating28.3%Moderate
May 29, 2026Overheating28.5%Moderate
May 28, 2026Overheating28.6%Low
May 27, 2026Inflation Shock28.8%Low
May 26, 2026Inflation Shock29.6%Low
May 25, 2026Inflation Shock29.6%Low
May 22, 2026Inflation Shock29.7%Low
May 21, 2026Inflation Shock29.4%Low
May 20, 2026Inflation Shock30.0%Low
May 19, 2026Inflation Shock29.9%Low
May 18, 2026Inflation Shock29.6%Low
May 15, 2026Inflation Shock29.6%Low
May 14, 2026Inflation Shock29.7%Low
May 13, 2026Inflation Shock29.5%Low
May 12, 2026Overheating29.1%Moderate
May 11, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
May 8, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
May 7, 2026Overheating28.9%Moderate
May 6, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
May 5, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
May 4, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
May 1, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
April 30, 2026Overheating29.2%Moderate
April 29, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
April 28, 2026Overheating29.1%Moderate
April 27, 2026Overheating29.0%Low
April 24, 2026Overheating29.1%Moderate
April 23, 2026Overheating29.1%Moderate
April 22, 2026Overheating29.0%Moderate
April 21, 2026Overheating28.8%Moderate
April 20, 2026Overheating28.2%Low
April 17, 2026Overheating28.2%Low
April 16, 2026Overheating28.3%Low
April 15, 2026Overheating28.4%Low
April 14, 2026Inflation Shock29.2%Low
April 13, 2026Inflation Shock30.7%Low
April 10, 2026Inflation Shock31.3%Low
April 9, 2026Inflation Shock31.2%Low
April 7, 2026Inflation Shock31.9%Moderate
April 6, 2026Inflation Shock32.7%Moderate
April 3, 2026Inflation Shock33.1%Moderate
April 2, 2026Inflation Shock33.1%Moderate
April 1, 2026Inflation Shock33.2%Moderate
March 31, 2026Inflation Shock33.5%Moderate
March 30, 2026Inflation Shock32.7%Moderate
March 27, 2026Inflation Shock32.7%Moderate
March 26, 2026Inflation Shock32.8%Moderate
March 25, 2026Inflation Shock32.1%Moderate
March 24, 2026Inflation Shock33.2%Moderate
March 23, 2026Inflation Shock33.7%Moderate
March 20, 2026Inflation Shock34.1%Moderate
March 19, 2026Inflation Shock34.2%Moderate
March 18, 2026Inflation Shock34.1%Moderate
March 17, 2026Inflation Shock33.9%Moderate
March 16, 2026Inflation Shock33.7%Moderate
March 13, 2026Inflation Shock33.7%Moderate
March 12, 2026Inflation Shock33.6%Moderate
March 11, 2026Inflation Shock33.2%Moderate
March 10, 2026Inflation Shock32.9%Moderate
March 9, 2026Inflation Shock32.3%Moderate
March 6, 2026Inflation Shock30.4%Moderate
March 5, 2026Inflation Shock29.5%Moderate
March 4, 2026Inflation Shock28.6%Moderate
March 3, 2026Inflation Shock27.6%Moderate
March 2, 2026Inflation Shock25.6%Moderate
February 27, 2026Soft Landing27.1%Moderate
February 26, 2026Soft Landing27.3%Moderate
February 25, 2026Soft Landing27.2%Moderate
February 24, 2026Soft Landing27.0%Moderate
February 23, 2026Soft Landing27.2%Moderate
February 20, 2026Soft Landing26.9%Moderate
February 19, 2026Soft Landing27.3%Moderate
February 18, 2026Soft Landing27.3%Low
February 17, 2026Soft Landing27.2%Low
February 16, 2026Soft Landing27.2%Low
February 13, 2026Soft Landing26.8%Low
February 12, 2026Soft Landing26.8%Low
February 11, 2026Soft Landing27.0%Low
February 10, 2026Soft Landing26.9%Low
February 9, 2026Soft Landing26.9%Low
February 6, 2026Soft Landing26.9%Low

Showing the most recent 150 daily snapshots. The full series back to 2016 drives the chart on the regime page.

The regime, day by day.

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